Showing posts with label Crude oil prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Crude oil prices. Show all posts

Wednesday, 8 November 2017

Crude Oil Reaches The Target - What Next?

Mission accomplished as oil trades at a brand new high in 2017.
Fundamentals versus Technicals.
Fundamentals square measure still substantiative.
Technicals flash a positive and be-careful call at an equivalent time.

The world organization meeting is that the main event - Asian country prepares by cleansing house and tensions still flare within the geographic region.

Back on solstice once near NYMEX crude futures fell to lows of $42.05 per barrel, several analysts were job for even lower levels. I printed a piece on Seeking Alpha saying that market structure would doubtless take the value back to the $50 per barrel level.

Over the weeks and months that followed, I continued to clarify however market structure within the oil market amounts to items of a puzzle and once combined, told United States of America that the trail of effort for the energy goods was higher.

In Gregorian calendar month, when the value had rebounded to the $50 per barrel sweet spot, I wrote “I believe that each one signs purpose to a check of the $55.24 vital resistance purpose before the top of this year… a brand new high in 2017 isn't out of the question, and also the items of the puzzle still purpose to a challenge of the technical level on the side someday within the final quarter of this year.”
Crude oil is currently mercantilism higher than that January peak and at a brand new high for this year.

Mission accomplished as oil trades at a brand new high in 2017

On Friday, November 3, the value of December crude futures affected higher than technical resistance at the January highs sort of a hot knife through butter.

As the daily chart highlights, crude rallied higher than the $55.24 resistance level last Friday and it unbroken on going, reaching a high of $57.69 on November seven.

Since the solstice low at $42.05 on the near NYMEX derivative, the energy goods has been creating higher lows and better highs. the most recent rally that has taken crude to a brand new peak for 2017 has return from lows of $49.44 on the December contract on Gregorian calendar month 6.

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Monday, 23 October 2017

Global crude oil prices rise on tightening supply, strong demand

Oil costs rose on weekday over offer considerations within the geographical region and because the U.S. market showed any signs of alteration whereas demand in Asia keeps rising. brent goose crude futures, the international benchmark for oil costs, were at $57.84 at 0056 universal time, up 9 cents, or 0.16 percent, from their last shut. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $52.03 per barrel, up nineteen cents, or 0.37 percent.

"Oil costs are holding well higher than $50 as potential offer disruptions within the Kurdish region of Al-Iraq support costs," aforesaid William O'Loughlin, investment analyst at Rivkin Securities.

"U.S. production was additionally recently wedged by a cyclone for the second time in as several months and therefore the variety of U.S. drilling rigs declined for the third week in an exceedingly row," O'Loughlin aforesaid.

The amount of U.S. oil rigs drilling for brand new production fell by 7 to 736 within the week to Oct. 20, very cheap level since June, General electrical Co's Baker Hughes energy services firm aforesaid on Friday.

Much can depend upon demand to guide costs, with the U.S. market alteration, flows from Al-Iraq reduced owing to fighting between government forces and Kurdish militant teams, and production still being withheld as a part of a written agreement between the Organization of the crude oil commercialism Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producers to tighten the market.


In the main growth areas of Asia, consumption remains robust particularly in China and India, the world's most wanted and 3 importers.

India foreign a record 4.83 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil in Gregorian calendar month as many refiners resumed operations once in depth maintenance to satisfy rising native fuel demand.

The country's Gregorian calendar month imports stood 4.2 % higher than now last year and concerning 19% over in August, ship-tracking knowledge from trade sources and Thomson Reuters Analytics showed.

Given the alteration oil market conditions, several analysts expect costs to rise any.
"We can see oil costs higher by 10 % by the tip of the year. we've began to accumulate robust positions at intervals the oil sector," aforesaid Shane Chanel, equities and derivatives consultant at ASR Wealth Advisers.

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Monday, 9 October 2017

Saudi pledges cuts to stop crude prices falling

Oil prices stable once Saudi Aramco aforesaid it plans to form “the deepest client allocation cuts in its history” in oil provides in November to assist cut back world inventories and balance the market.
Brent crude, the world benchmark, erased earlier declines to trade marginally higher at $55.62 a barrel in London trade once the news of the Saudi oil allocations cuts.

US West TX Intermediate crude futures were commercialism at $49.53, up 24c. WTI’s losses last week came to 4.6%.

State-run Arabian Oil Co, referred to as Aramco, can create associate degree“unprecedented” cut of 560,000 barrels each day in its allocations to customers next month, the Saudi energy ministry aforesaid during a statement.

Aramco plans to produce 7.15m barrels each day “despite terribly sturdy demand” that exceeds 7.7m barrels each day, it said.

“Saudi Arabia is once more demonstrating extraordinary leadership in its commitment to rebalancing the market, as we tend to approach the approaching key meeting of November 30 in Austrian capital, by restraining not solely the top-line of production volume, however even additional significantly all-time low line of exports, that square measure what ultimately form world inventories and market balances,” aforesaid the ministry.

“The kingdom expects all alternative participants within the effort to imitate and to keep up the high levels of overall conformity achieved in August going forward.”

Saudi Arabia, the world’s prime crude businessperson, is leading the Organisation of fossil oil exportation Countries and alternative producers together with Russia in paring output below a deal that helped propel oil into a market in Sept.

Lower compliance with the curbs secure by some nations combined with rising production in international organisation members African nation and Nigeria — each exempt from reducing output as a result of their internal strife — have supplementary pressure on Saudi Arabia to form deeper cuts of its own.

The decrease in allocations for November “constitutes a full 290,000 barrels each day reduction over and on top of the 486,000 barrels a day” that Saudi Arabia pledged to chop as a part of its commitment to the world output accord, aforesaid the ministry.

This adds up “to a colossal total of just about 800,000 barrels a day” in cuts.
Saudi Arabia scaled back exports in Sept to but vi.7m barrels each day, “despite high client demand and therefore the partial reduction of domestic summer crude burning requirements”.

Oil costs have had one in all the foremost pessimistic weeks in months.

Oil production platforms within the Gulf of Mexico started returning to service once cyclone Nate had forced the conclusion of over ninetieth of crude output within the space.
The prospective restarts unbroken value gains under control.

“Oil has hassle to seek out direction. Mixed signals keep investors busy dynamic their minds,” aforesaid Hans van Cleef, energy social scientist at ABN Amro.

“There may be a sensible likelihood that we are going to still trade a little sideways within the returning weeks up to the international organisation meeting.”

Opec countries square measure as a result of meet in Austrian capital on November 30, once it'll discuss its written agreement to scale back output so as to shore the market.

Opec secretary-general Mohammad Barkindo aforesaid over the weekend that consultations were below manner for associate degree extension of the agreement on the far side March 2018 which additional oil-producing nations might be part of the written agreement, presumably at the November meeting.

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Thursday, 3 August 2017

Crude oil prices steady in Asia ahead of US rig count data

Crude oil prices held largely steady in Asia on Friday beforehand of weekly rig count knowledge from Baker Hughes anticipated to set the tone.

On the new York Mercantile exchange crude futures for September delivery traded flat at $49.03 a barrel, while on London's Intercontinental change, Brent received 0.19% to $52.01 a barrel.

overnight, crude futures settled decrease on Thursday, as investors looked beforehand to an Opec meeting subsequent week for fresh perception into the oil cartel’s dedication to fortify compliance with the deal to curb manufacturing.

Investor sentiment on oil soured as concerns over an uptick in Opec supplies offset bullish knowledge displaying U.S. fuel demand hit a document high while crude stockpiles dropped for the fifth straight week.

Inventories of  U.S. crude fell by using roughly 1.5m barrels in the week ended July 28, beneath expectations of a draw of about most effective 2.9m barrels, the power knowledge Administration said Wednesday.

Opec output hit a 2017 excessive of 33 million bpd in July, up 90,000 bpd from the previous month, a Reuters survey showed previous this week, despite the staff’s pledge to curb production.

concerns over rising Opec production come in advance of a highly expecting meeting amongst Opec individuals next week, as the team seeks to reaffirm its dedication to extend compliance with the deal to curb production.

In could, Opec and non-Opec members agreed to extend manufacturing cuts for a length of 9 months except March, however caught to manufacturing cuts of 1.8 million bpd agreed in November last 12 months.

Market members, then again, downplayed the importance of the assembly next week, suggesting oil prices may just battle to sustained upward momentum.


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Wednesday, 5 July 2017

Global crude oil prices dip on Opec supply rise, but political risk supports

Brent crude futures, the world benchmark for oil costs, had been at $49.55 per barrel at 0456 GMT, down 6 cents, or 0.1 per cent, from their ultimate close.

Oil dipped on Wednesday, pulled down with the aid of every other upward push in Opec supplies despite a pledge to chop manufacturing, but geopolitical tensions within the Korean peninsula and the center Eastput a floor beneath costs.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil costs, were at $49.55 per barrel at 0456 GMT, down 6 cents, or 0.1 per cent, from their ultimate shut.

 US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures had been at $46.99 per barrel, down 8  cents, or 0.2 per cent.

despite the dips, each markets have recovered around 12 per cent from latest lows on June 21, even if crude costs appear locked beneath $50 per barrel.

"Oil bulls have a large number of barriers to beat," said Stephen Schork of the Schork record, pointing to rising Opec output and high manufacturing in the united states.

Oil exports with the aid of the organization of the Petroleum Exporting international locations (Opec) rose for a second month in June, in keeping with Thomson Reuters Oil research, regardless of its pledge to hold again manufacturing between January this year and March 2018 in order to prop up prices.

Opec exported 25.92 million barrels per day (bpd) in June, 450,000 bpd above may and 1.9 million bpd greater than a 12 months past.

"The market remains delicate to reviews of upper supply," ANZ stated.

regardless of abundant provides, merchants stated that prices were kept from falling additional because of international security dangers following North Korea's repeated missile checks and the political quandary between Qatar and an alliance of Arab nations led with the aid of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

"Rising geopolitical risks should provide some improve to gold and oil costs," ANZ financial institution said on Wednesday.

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Monday, 8 May 2017

Crude oil prices climb further in Asia trade

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was up zero.8 per cent at $49.forty nine a barrel. That was once after closing up 1.5 per cent on Friday, which nonetheless left the marker down 5.1 per cent over the route of final week.

Brent sank under $50 a barrel remaining week amid growing issues about rising US output and lengthening scepticism over Opec’s means to keep a lid on world production.

West Texas Intermediate, america marker, used to be also up 0.8 per cent in Asia on Monday at $forty six.fifty seven a barrel. It had closed 1.5 per cent better on Friday however closed the week 6.3 per cent lower.

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Friday, 10 March 2017

Oil Prices Continue Plunging As Speculators Rush For The Exit

After having dipped 5 percent on Wednesday, oil prices continued plunging on Thursday by more than 2 percent, as speculators have started exiting the nearly record long positions in oil futures that they had amassed.
As of 11:54 AM (EST), WTI Crude was trading down 2.27 percent at US$49.14, while Brent was down 2.09 percent at US$52.00.
Having traded in a tight range with low volatility for three months, oil prices are now breaking loose, and WTI is testing the US$49 floor, after it dipped below US$50 for the first time since December. The volatility could create a sense of panic and prompt even more speculators rush to liquidate their long positions, according to The Street.
“It’s a combination of an overhang of (speculative) length and the overhang in inventories ... and the other thing unnerving the market is rapid growth in U.S. crude production,” Andrew Lebow, senior partner at Commodity Research Group in Darien, Connecticut, told Reuters on Wednesday.
Apart from the run for exit from the massive long positions, oil prices were further dampened by the huge U.S. crude oil inventories and rising U.S. crude production and rig count.
Until very recently, OPEC’s supply-cut agreement was putting a floor under the oil prices while U.S. shale capped large price gains. Now the tight range in which oil was trading is unraveling, and speculators that had held onto hope for higher prices are jumping ship.
OPEC is probably already questioning not only whether the production cut would help clear the global gut, but also whether the efforts to cap the cartel’s output should be intensified, with deeper cuts extended by the end of the year. 
“The discussion will now center around whether or not Saudi Arabia is willing to give back market share to U.S. producers ... or are they ready for yet another round of the market share war,” Dominick Chirichella, senior partner at the Energy Management Institute in New York, told Reuters on Thursday. 

Friday, 3 March 2017

Commodities: Crude oil lower as concerns mount on Opec production cut levels

Crude-oil futures are firmly lower Thursday as considerations concerning the level of adherence to Opec manufacturing lower pledges resurfaced amid the lingering world glut of the black liquid and file US stockpiles.
At about 15:45 GMT, Nymex-priced West Texas Intermediate crude was once down 1.62% to $fifty two.96 a barrel, and Intercontinental trade-traded Brent was once down 1.sixty one% to $fifty five.45 a barrel.
"Crude oil prices have come beneath drive once more after information confirmed that Iraqi exports rose in February," 
He brought that this validated earlier knowledge that OPEC manufacturing elevated for that month, and solid doubt on the compliance narrative of near 90% (of promised output cuts) that we have now been hearing from OPEC secretary normal Barkindo over the past few days.
"With US stockpiles still at report levels and the usa dollar looking robust the failure to push above contemporary highs has viewed oil costs hit their lowest ranges in two weeks," he stated.
SwissQuote stated earlier on Thursday that, for the second, it ruled out any correction towards $forty nine.sixty one a barrel for WTI. "We consider that further weakness are very doubtless."
intervening time, on Comex, gold used to be down 0.7% to $1241.30 an ounce, with silver down zero.fifty nine% to $18.38 an ounce and copper down 1.46% to 269.6 cents a pound.
"The yellow steel has except now been very resilient to greenback potential, possibly a mirrored image of the political risk atmosphere," mentioned Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda.
He was referring to US President Donald Trump, Brexit and France's elections making buyers a "tad uneasy". Its weakness was once also linked to speculation this week and ultimate a couple of doable US rate upward push, which had dented the safe-haven appeal of the yellow metal.
"Gold is trading round half a share point decrease these days and should we see a wreck under yesterday’s low -- round $1,236.45 -- it may well set off a sharper sell-off.
Three-month industrial metals on London Metals trade had been better. Tin used to be the largest gainer at 1.fifty six%, adopted via zinc up 1.31%, aluminum up 1.three% and copper up zero.72%.
amongst agriculturals, Chicago Board of change-priced corn was down zero.forty six% to 380.25 cents a bushel, with wheat down 0.11% to 456.5 cents a bushel.
On ICE, cocoa was once down 1.sixteen% to $1875 a MT, with cotton No.2 up 1.18% to 78.seventy eight cents a pound. are living cattle fell 0.34% to 117.18 cents a pound.