Monday 28 November 2016

MCX aluminium in bull grip

The aluminium futures contract on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) surged 4.5 per cent in the past week. The contract recorded an intraweek high of ₹122.6/kg but closed the week at ₹120. 6.On Monday, it opened with a gap-up and was trading at around ₹121.3. The immediate outlook is not clear. A range bound move between ₹119 and ₹123 is possible in the near term. A breakout on either side will decide the next leg of move.

The bias is bullish. So, there is a strong likelihood of the contract breaking above ₹123 in coming days. This can take it higher to ₹126 initially. A break above ₹126 will see the upmove extending to ₹130 and ₹131.Traders with a short-term perspective can make use of dips to go long near ₹120. Stop-loss can be placed at ₹115.5 for the target of ₹127. Revise the stop-loss higher to ₹122 as soon as the stock moves up to ₹125.

The 21-day moving average around ₹117 is a key support. The outlook will turn negative if the contract falls below this. The next targets will be ₹114 and ₹112.5.On the global front, spot aluminium prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) have been range-bound between $1,700 and $1,780 a tonne since the beginning of this month.

A strong trend-line support is at $1,700, leaving the bias bullish for a break above $1,780 in coming days. This can take it to $1,850 and $1,870. The outlook will turn bearish for a fall to $1,630 only if spot prices fall below $1,700 decisively.
Read more- https://www.goldcruderesearch.com/comex.php

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